Začal sa rozvíjať koncom šesťdesiatych rokov 20. storočia v období rastúcej inflácie a zvyšujúcej sa nezamestnanosti. Hlavným predstaviteľom monetarizmu je Milton Friedman. Zakladá sa teda na tvrdení, že dva hlavné faktory, ktoré určujú výkon ekonomiky, zamestnanosti a ceny sú množstvo peňazí v obehu a cena za ktorú možno získať úver. Štát ich totiž môže ľahko regulovať zmenou úrokovej miery. Vysoká miera úrokovej sadzby odvádza peniaze z obehu, pretože pôžičky sú drahé a úspory sú výhodné. Nízka miera zasa naopak zlacňuje pôžičky a oživuje investície v priemysle. Monetarizmus zjednodušene vychádza z aktívnej úlohy peňazí v reprodukčnom procese.
Pravdepodobne najdôležitejšou príčinou monetaristickej „revolúcie“ však boli samotné dejiny. V čase druhej svetovej vojny očakávali mnohí ekonómovia pre povojnové obdobie pokračovanie fázy depresie z medzivojnového obdobia. Vplyvní keynesovci ako A.H. Hansen a A.P. Lerner predpovedali trvalý problém dopytu, ak by sa hospodársko-politické inštancie nevedeli rozhodnúť pre cieľavedomé použitie fiškálnej politiky. Peňažná politika bola zatlačená do úzadia a v podstate bola založená permisívne, čo znamená, že jej úloha spočívala v udržiavaní nízkych úrokov, čím sa mal zmierniť problém štátneho dlhu a podmieniť investičný dopyt.
V povojnovom období sa nepozoroval klesajúci trend efektívneho dopytu, pretože zamestnanosť zostala po dlhý čas stabilná. Na miesto záujmu sa dostal povojnový problém inflácie a čiastočne vytriezvené skúsenosti z praktického uplatňovania diskrecionárnej stabilizačnej politiky. Tým sa v rámci ekonomiky, aspoň v jej značnej časti, posunul cieľ výkladu od zamestnanosti k inflácii, pôda pre monetarizmus bola pripravená.
Monetarizmus zahŕňa niekoľko škôl, medzi ktorými sú rozlišnosti
Odmietajú Keynesove štátne zásahy do ekonomiky a zdôrazňujú mimoriadnú úlohu peňazí v ekonomike.
1) monetaristi odmietajú štátne zásahy do ekonomiky – dôvodia pritom najmä časovými oneskoreniami. Ak v ekonomike vznikne dáka porucha, potrebujeme určitý čas, kým na ňu prídeme, určitý čas kým to príde do parlamentu, do praxe, kým to začne dávať plody – a medzitým uplynie taký dlhý čas, že toto opatrenie môže spôsobiť negatívne dôsledky.
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2) Keynes zdôrazňuje fiškálnu politiku, monetaristi ju považujú za neúčinnú. Argumentujú tým, že rast vládnych výdavkov vytískajú súkromné invetície –> fiškálna politika je neúčinná.
3) Keynesovci sa zameriavajú na stranu dopytu (zabezpečenie nízkej úrokovej miery), monetaristi sa zameriavajú na stranu ponuky (regulácia množstva peňazí v ekonomike).
4) Keynesovci boli zástancami jemného dolaďovania (politika stop & go), monetaristi sú zástancami stálych pravidiel (tzv. Friedmanovo peňažné pravidlo, ktoré hovorí, že množstvo peňazí v ekonomike by sa malo zvyšovať takým tempom, ako rastie produkt 3-5% => aby sa do ekonomiky dostávalo toľko peňazí, koľko sa tam dostáva z novej produkcie, aby teda nedochádzalo k inflácii).
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Эта статья – источник ценной информации! Я оцениваю глубину исследования и разнообразие рассматриваемых аспектов. Она действительно расширила мои знания и помогла мне лучше понять тему. Большое спасибо автору за такую качественную работу!
I don’t think the title of your article matches the content lol. Just kidding, mainly because I had some doubts after reading the article.
Автор предлагает реалистичные решения, которые могут быть внедрены в реальной жизни.
Я просто восхищен этой статьей! Автор предоставил глубокий анализ темы и подкрепил его примерами и исследованиями. Это помогло мне лучше понять предмет и расширить свои знания. Браво!
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First off I want to say awesome blog! I had a quick question that I’d like to ask if you do not mind. I was interested to find out how you center yourself and clear your mind before writing. I have had difficulty clearing my thoughts in getting my thoughts out there. I do take pleasure in writing however it just seems like the first 10 to 15 minutes tend to be lost just trying to figure out how to begin. Any suggestions or tips? Cheers!